NCAA Tournament March Madness

#151 Arkansas St

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

Arkansas State’s résumé is built on a couple of eye-catching road victories that show this team can win away from home, but those highlights are offset by ugly defeats on the road at St. Mary’s, SMU and against SF Austin that raise real questions about consistency and defense. Home wins over Jacksonville State, North Dakota State and UT Arlington are useful but they do not replace the lack of a signature neutral‑site or high‑major scalp. The Sun Belt slate still offers opportunities to pile up resume wins with home assignments like ULM and Louisiana and winnable conference dates, yet looming road tests at South Alabama, Troy and other league venues are the exact kind of results the committee will scrutinize. Put simply, Arkansas State has shown it can win on the road and grind out league victories, but the combination of damaging nonconference losses and an absence of a marquee win makes its margin for error very small and turns the remainder of the schedule into a must‑exploit chance to change how the resume is viewed.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/3@Ohio212W89-85
11/7@SF Austin146L90-65
11/11@Missouri St251W86-85
11/19@St Mary's CA35L85-72
11/21@SMU42L100-69
11/24Jacksonville St236W74-63
11/28N Dakota St149W85-80
12/2UT Arlington183W83-63
12/6@Ark Little Rock30769%
12/13@Rice21752%
12/17@Texas St23154%
12/20@Southern Miss20449%
1/3James Madison17766%
1/4James Madison17766%
1/7Troy14558%
1/10Texas St23175%
1/15@South Alabama16742%
1/17@Troy14536%
1/22@Ga Southern22453%
1/24@Georgia St33576%
1/28Old Dominion22073%
1/31Marshall17065%
2/4@Coastal Car24256%
2/11ULM35594%
2/14South Alabama16764%
2/19@Louisiana32673%
2/21@ULM35584%
2/24Southern Miss20470%
2/27Louisiana32688%